Lesson 5 of 7
What the debt actually costs
Interest expense over average debt gave 2.49 percent for one company and 4.74 for another. The tax shield then moved one of them and barely touched the other.
By Javier Sanz
Founder of ValueScreener. Built Ninety Nine, a securities services provider, and sold it to a tier-one global bank; ran operations and internationalization at Alpaca, the brokerage API.
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In one minute
- A cost of debt read from the filings is interest expense over the average debt carried during the year, not the coupon on the newest bond.
- The tax shield is worth the company's own effective rate, which can be almost nothing: one company here paid tax at 0.43 percent.
- When the filed ratio is not a rate any lender charged, the honest output is no figure rather than a plausible one.
The equity side of a discount rate is an estimate built on a model. The debt side is nearly readable, which makes the places it goes wrong worth knowing precisely.
Two companies, the same method, two very different costs
- Procter and Gamble, before tax2.49%
- Procter and Gamble, after tax1.97%
- Carnival, before tax4.74%
- Carnival, after tax4.72%
The method, and the denominator that matters
Interest is paid on the debt carried through the year, so the denominator is the average of the opening and closing balances rather than the year-end figure. For Procter and Gamble that is interest expense of 877 million over the average of 35,464 and 35,025 million, which is 2.488 percent.
Using year-end debt instead would flatter a company that repaid debt late in the year and penalise one that borrowed late. The difference is small in a steady year and large in a year with a refinancing.
The tax shield is worth the company's own rate
Textbook practice applies a statutory rate. Both figures above use each company's own filed effective rate, and Carnival's is 0.43 percent: its shipping income is largely outside US corporate income tax, so the interest deduction saves it almost nothing. Applying a 21 percent statutory shield there would understate its cost of debt by nearly a full point.
The rate is held between zero and 50 percent before it is applied, because a small or negative pre-tax profit turns an effective rate into noise, and a negative cost of debt is not a number.
When the ratio is not a cost of debt
Sometimes interest expense over debt returns something no lender charged. A company that repaid a large facility during the year carries a full year of interest against a small closing balance. Measured across the pool on 2026-09-11, 115 of 2,462 companies filed interest above 100 percent of their year-end debt, and in one case a 12.59 percent cost of capital became 93.51 percent.
ValueScreener withholds the whole weighted average cost of capital above a 20 percent pre-tax cost of debt and records the reason rather than publishing the number. On 2026-09-16 that refusal applied to 159 listings.
What the filed figure cannot see
It is backward-looking. It is the average rate on debt raised in the past, which for a company that borrowed cheaply years ago is far below what it would pay to refinance today.
For a discount rate that prices future cash flows, the forward figure is the relevant one: the yield on the company's own traded bonds where they exist, or the Treasury yield plus a spread for its rating where they do not. The filed average is the check on that, not a replacement for it, and the gap between the two is itself worth looking at before a maturity wall.
Check yourself
Why divide interest expense by average debt rather than year-end debt?
- Average debt is always larger, which is more conservative
- Interest is paid on the debt carried through the year, so a year-end balance misstates the rate after a repayment or a late drawdown
- Because filings do not disclose year-end debt
Show the answer
Answer: B.
The numerator covers twelve months, so the denominator should too. The difference is small in a steady year and large in a refinancing year.Carnival's after-tax cost of debt is 4.72 percent against 4.74 before tax. Why so little difference?
- Its debt is mostly floating rate
- Its effective tax rate is 0.43 percent, so the interest deduction saves it almost nothing
- The tax shield does not apply to secured debt
Show the answer
Answer: B.
The shield is worth the company's own rate. Applying a statutory 21 percent here would understate its cost of debt by nearly a point.A company's filed interest expense exceeds its year-end debt. What should be published?
- The ratio, since it is what the filing supports
- No cost of capital, with the reason recorded, because the figure is not a rate any lender charged
- The statutory borrowing rate instead
Show the answer
Answer: B.
The interest was on debt repaid during the year or on something else. A number that cannot be true is worse than an absence.Sources
- Procter and Gamble, Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 30 June 2026, filed 2026-08-04: interest expense, total debt for two years, income tax expense and pre-tax income.
- Carnival Corporation and plc, Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 30 November 2025, filed 2026-01-27: interest expense, total debt, income tax expense and pre-tax income.
- The product's own measurement across 2,462 companies on 2026-09-11: 115 filed interest above 100 percent of year-end debt.
What this leaves out
- A filed average rate is historical. It is not what the company would pay to refinance today, and for a long-dated fixed-rate borrower the two can be points apart.
- Effective tax rates move with one-off items. A single year's rate is a weak estimate of the shield on future interest.
- The 20 percent ceiling and the zero to 50 percent tax band are this product's own thresholds, chosen to refuse implausible figures rather than to estimate better ones.
- Nothing here is advice about any security.