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Revenue trend fit (Rev stability)

How closely the last five years of revenue sit on a straight line, from 0 (scattered) to 1 (perfectly linear).

Predictable revenue is easier to value and much easier to underwrite.

How it is computed here

R-squared of a straight-line fit to annual revenue over the last five filed years

Computed across several filed fiscal years. Filed under growth. Higher is the stronger reading, other things equal.

No published threshold exists for this figure, so this page prints none. Read it against the company's own history and its peers instead.

When it misleads

  • It measures straightness, not direction. A company in steady decline scores near 1.
  • Needs at least three filed years; withheld below that.

Questions

How is revenue trend fit calculated?

R-squared of a straight-line fit to annual revenue over the last five filed years. Computed across several filed fiscal years.

What does revenue trend fit tell a value investor?

Predictable revenue is easier to value and much easier to underwrite.

When does revenue trend fit mislead?

It measures straightness, not direction. A company in steady decline scores near 1. Needs at least three filed years; withheld below that.

Related

Once a week, what changed in the filings of US-listed companies, why it can matter to a thesis, and what deserves a closer review. Grounded in filings, not market noise.

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Risk disclaimer. This service is provided for research and education only. Nothing on it is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Capital is at risk, and past performance does not indicate future results. Figures come from filed accounts and may be incomplete, delayed or later restated, so verify a number against the filing before you act on it.